2024 Predictions
It is that time of year again when I slaughter a goat, examine the entrails, and reveal to the world what will happen in the coming year. Given that last year’s hit rate was spectacular, the entrails tell me you should send a donation to the Seer of Lagos for providing this valuable service. There is no “black swan” prediction in the mix as by definition any such prediction would no longer qualify as a black swan event if it were to happen, so 2024 will be white swans all the way down.
Trump Will win Iowa and Ron DeSantis will finish second with Haley finishing a disappointing third place, tied with Ramaswamy. In New Hampshire, Trump will win the state with DeSantis finishing tied for third place with Ramaswamy, who will start talking about himself as having momentum. Trump meanwhile will win South Carolina and Michigan with more than half the vote. He will demand that the other candidates drop out of the race, with Ramaswamy being the only one to do so.
In the spring the convictions will start to come in from the various kangaroo courts accusing Trump of being a big meanie. This will have no impact on his polling, but the media will begin to form a narrative where the party feels it has no choice but to disqualify Trump and expel him from the party. The Supreme Court will take one of the 14th amendment cases, but hold off on delivering a verdict, giving the Republicans time to figure out how to expel Trump and relieve the court of this burden.
This will create chaos in the party as voters will accuse the remaining candidates of being in on this new round of election rigging. Someone will stand up at a Haley campaign event and caller her a rigger. With the remaining candidates so unpopular, the party will look outside the field and ask Glenn Youngkin to join the race. He will be quietly guarantied the nomination, as the party will control the Trump delegates and their own super delegates, thus having control of the nomination…
On the Democratic side, Biden will win the early primaries, mostly because he is running unopposed. In the spring he will have a serious episode that calls into question his fitness to hold office. This will be something more egregious than his shaking hands with invisible people, a thing he now does often. It will be something that the media cannot ignore. This will lead official Washington to intensify calls for the GOP to nominate Youngkin as a unifying candidate.
What no one will discuss in public is that Youngkin has deep ties to the military industrial complex, the neocons, and the intelligence community. He is this generations version of George H. W. Bush, a guy who does what is required to satisfy the rubes in fly over country, but is primarily loyal to the permanent ruling class. What Youngkin represents is a final attempt to claw back some order from the gathering chaos. Conservatives will rally to this idea, as they are this stupid…
The Federal Reserve, having convinced itself that inflation is not real, will relent to pressure from the usual suspects and begin a program of cutting rates in the first quarter of the year. By summer it will become clear that inflation is real, and it never went away just because the Fed stopped believing in it. People will begin to compare Jerome Powell to Arthur Burns, who fell into the same trap in the 1970’s when he failed to raise rates enough to control inflation…
By summer Argentina will collapse under a combination of social unrest, political unrest, and economic chaos. Javier Milei was a fun protest vote, but Argentines will soon learn that having a clown in charge is actually worse than having crooks in charge and they will begin to protest the government. The political class will use its real power to undermine his government. The economy will crater as foreign investment vanishes and the cost of borrowing soars…
In the first reported sighting of the heretofore mythical Ozark Mountain Shark, Paul Ramsey will be attacked by said shark while tending his property. He will not be injured, but the shark will warn him that if he does not paint those pink walls in his studio, he will come back with friends, and it will not be pretty. Faced with having to repaint the studio, Paul will abandon the format and instead start a new YouTube cooking series in which he only uses the microwave…
On the sporting front, the Lagos sportsball club will win the annual sports bowl, prevailing over the club from San Francisco. Both of the Japanese stars the Dodgers signed over the winter will have season ending injuries. The sporting god are never kind to the big spenders. In the other football, the one played with feet and round balls over in Europe, the Premier League, which is the highest level of the English football league system, will file for bankruptcy…
The Israelis will keep trying to escalate the Gaza war in order to draw in the United States, but the Iranians will not take the bait. Russia will start to upgrade the Syrian air defense systems as a way to both defend against Israeli attacks and to open another front in the proxy war with the Global American Empire. The Saudis agree to move forward with Russia and China on developing their nuclear program, signaling an end to the Saudi-American relationship that has defined the region…
The concept of antiwhite will become mainstream as the media continues to push the culture war in advance of the elections. Normal white people will begin to talk publicly about the war on white people. The “great replacement” will go mainstream, and the usual suspects try to scream it down with the usual language, but normal white people will shrug off these tactics. For the first time in generations, the claim of racism will not terrorize normal white people…
The entertainment industry will have its worst year in memory as the combination of antiwhite content, reduced inventory due to the 2023 strikes and changing habits results in a lower box office and accelerated cable cutting. Not only will people cut the cord, but the internet services will see a drop in subscription numbers. Content owners are insulting their customers and pricing them out of the market. The market for video content is tapped out and will begin to decline.
The Biden administration will intensify efforts to confiscate Russian assets currently frozen in Western banks. The stated goal is to free up money for Ukraine, but the real point is to bring Russian to the table. The administration wants to avoid a total collapse in Ukraine by “freezing” the war. The Russians are not stupid so they have no interest in that idea, but the West thinks the threat of confiscating Russian assets could force the Russians to reconsider their position.
This will fail as the Russians will see it as an opportunity to remind the rest of the world that their money is not safe in Western banks. The Russian army will continue to grind down the Ukrainians all along the line of contact. Yulia Tymoshenko, the “gas princess”, will become a serious threat to Zelensky as Washington quietly backs her play, which in turn leads to a political collapse in Kiev. By the end of the year, Zaluzhny will give his Mannerheim speech, which he spoke of last year…
My book will be the number one Christmas gift in 2024…
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