Watching Old People Work
The other day I was watching bunch of guys tear up some concrete in the courtyard of my office building. One guy was running a jackhammer, the sort that is attached to a bobcat. Others were cutting re-bar, while others moved the rubble around for no apparent reason. They were not screwing around or loafingThey were just ridiculously disorganized. It was an amusing show.
Watching it, I noticed that there was not a single immigrant on the crew. It was all white guys and one black guy. Construction has been down around here since the crash so maybe the Mexican trade guys moved on and what’s left is the old white guys who used to work in sales or something. I’m just guessing. Maybe the government cracked down on the illegals in the trades. Stop laughing.
The other thing was the age. Every one of the crew was over forty. One guy was in his sixties. He was busting his hump, outworking everyone else. The old guy was in great shape. He even smoked, which is pretty funny. I’m going to say the bulk of the crew was between 45 and 55. There was one guy that could have been under 40, but that’s it. Pretty old for manual labor.
Out of curiosity, I looked up the average age of construction workers and found this from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. There’s a lot of data there and it does not look like construction is an old business. Manufacturing is older. Government is really old with a median age pushing 50 for most sectors. Searching around for more granular data I found this story that claims the average age of welders is 55.
For some reason we have had a welder shortage for years now. I have a distant relative who is a career criminal and welder. He gets out of jail and goes back to welding, often being bailed out by his employer. Presumably he is very good at his trade and does not commit his crimes on the job, but it says a lot about the quality of people in that trade.
There’s not a lot of great data for the trades. Plumbers in Texas, for example, are 50 years old, on average. The median age of carpenters is supposedly 48 across the country. If you look closely at the BLS data, retail is the youngest sector and government is the oldest. Manufacturing is the next oldest and then you get into the trades. Young people seem to be in services, technology and retail.
When you start looking at the data, it is not hard to see why upper middle class whites favor open borders. They don’t work in the trades. Their kids will not even work summers in the trades. Heck, middle class kids no longer work. That’s for the poor people now. On the other hand, upper middle class people need their toilets fixed and their houses repaired.
At the same time, it is easy to see why the public is turning on immigration. Despite what the people on TV believe, America is not 30-something beautiful people living in swank urban enclaves. Most people are related to one of those guys busting up the sidewalks outside my office.
Still, demographics does not explain why the trades are getting gray. It is not easy to be a carpenter or a steamfitter. Welding is a lot more involved than working in a government office. To be a competent carpenter you need math skills, problem solving skills, in addition to physical skills. The young people with something on the ball are discouraged from going into the trades, while they are encouraged to head off to college. At some point, that has to change.
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